Today, I want to talk about five the most misplayed hands in Blackjack. The first misplayed hand I want to talk about is----the player's 12 against the dealer's up card which has the value of 3(dealer has one card that faces up and one card that faces down in the beginning, the card that faces up is called up card ). Some people believe, when you are in this situation, you should stand on your twelve(not asking another card), because the 3 of dealer is a weak card. This is terribly wrong! Think about it, if the current value of your cards is 12, there are only 4 cards (10, J, Q, K) that can bust you (make the total value of cards exceed 21 ). On the other hand, there are 5 cards(5, 6, 7, 8, 9) that can make the total value of your cards go to 17-21. Also, the dealer's 3 is not as weak as dealer's 4-6, because compare to the up card that is 4-6 there are not many cards that can bust dealer's 3. On the contrary, it is easy for dealer get the total value that is over 12 and beat the player. Unless you have a twelve against dealer's 4, 5, or 6, you should always hit when yo have a twelve against dealer's 2 or 3.
The second misplayed hand I want to talk about is----when a player has a a pair of nines and the dealer has a nine. Most of people think that when they have a pair of nine in this hand and the dealer's face up card is 2 through 6 they should split that pair of nine, because they have a good chance to win on both hands when they split the card. However, when they have a pair of nine and the dealer's face-up card is nine, most of players hesitate and tend to stand. In this situation, players can win 8 out of twenty hands. It's not bad, because players have 40% chance to win this hand. If they split the 9s, they can win 9.5 out of 20 hands. They will have 47.5% chance to win. Their chance to win increases 7.5% by splitting a pair of 9 when dealer has a 9. Therefore, it's better for players to split a pair of nine in that situation.
The third misplayed hand is----when the player has a 16, and the dealer has a 10. This is a really bad situation for a player. If player hit on this hand, it is very likely to go bust. If players stand on this hand, it is easy for the dealer to win since he has a 10. In this situation, some players may choose stand, because they don't want to take a risk to hit on this hand. The better choice is---surrender if the casino has the rule for players to surrender. If players surrender, they only loose half of their bet. If players choose to stand and not to surrender, the chance for them to loose is greater than 50%. Hence, it's more logical to surrender and loose half of the bet. If the casino has no surrender rule, players should hit on this hand, because they may still have the chance to win. Even it bust eventually, it's fine, because stand on 16 doesn't give players a big chance to win anyway. There's one exception. if players 16 is combined by three or more than three cards, they should stand. Why? That's because you will be more likely for players to get a big value card if you hit. Since the small value cards are removed from the deck, there are more big value cards left in the deck. That's why players are more likely to get a big value card and go bust. Same as players, it is also more likely for dealer to get a big value card if he hit. He may go bust when he hit on that hand. In other words, players will have more chance to win when they stand on the 16 that is combined with 3 or more than 3 cards.
The fourth misplayed hand in Blackjack is----when the player has an A and a 7(we call it soft 18 because A can be either 11 or 1) and the dealer has 9. Most of people may choose to stand, because they think 18 is safe enough. If players choose to stand on the soft 18, they can win 8 out of 20 hands. If they keep hitting until the sum of their cards exceed 17. They can win 9 out of 20 hands. The chance to win the game increases 5% by hitting the card. So that's why players should hit when they have soft 18 and the dealer has a 9.
The fifth misplayed hand in Blackjack is-------When the players has a pair of 8 and the dealer has a 10.
Most of people may think they are going to loose because they have 16 and the dealer's face-up card is 10. Actually, if players split that pair of 8, they can get out of the loosing situation, and they may be able to win. If you has 16 and the dealer has a 10, you only have 23% chance to win. However, if your 16 consists of a pair of 8, and you split your card. You will start two new hands with 8. And your chance to win the game with two hands with 8 is 38%. Hence, splitting a pair of 8 is a good choice when the dealer has a 10.
To win when gambling not only requires luck but also math and logic. I hope this article can help you understand the logic and the correct strategies to play Blackjack. Maybe one day you can go to the casino and try them out.
The second misplayed hand I want to talk about is----when a player has a a pair of nines and the dealer has a nine. Most of people think that when they have a pair of nine in this hand and the dealer's face up card is 2 through 6 they should split that pair of nine, because they have a good chance to win on both hands when they split the card. However, when they have a pair of nine and the dealer's face-up card is nine, most of players hesitate and tend to stand. In this situation, players can win 8 out of twenty hands. It's not bad, because players have 40% chance to win this hand. If they split the 9s, they can win 9.5 out of 20 hands. They will have 47.5% chance to win. Their chance to win increases 7.5% by splitting a pair of 9 when dealer has a 9. Therefore, it's better for players to split a pair of nine in that situation.
The third misplayed hand is----when the player has a 16, and the dealer has a 10. This is a really bad situation for a player. If player hit on this hand, it is very likely to go bust. If players stand on this hand, it is easy for the dealer to win since he has a 10. In this situation, some players may choose stand, because they don't want to take a risk to hit on this hand. The better choice is---surrender if the casino has the rule for players to surrender. If players surrender, they only loose half of their bet. If players choose to stand and not to surrender, the chance for them to loose is greater than 50%. Hence, it's more logical to surrender and loose half of the bet. If the casino has no surrender rule, players should hit on this hand, because they may still have the chance to win. Even it bust eventually, it's fine, because stand on 16 doesn't give players a big chance to win anyway. There's one exception. if players 16 is combined by three or more than three cards, they should stand. Why? That's because you will be more likely for players to get a big value card if you hit. Since the small value cards are removed from the deck, there are more big value cards left in the deck. That's why players are more likely to get a big value card and go bust. Same as players, it is also more likely for dealer to get a big value card if he hit. He may go bust when he hit on that hand. In other words, players will have more chance to win when they stand on the 16 that is combined with 3 or more than 3 cards.
The fourth misplayed hand in Blackjack is----when the player has an A and a 7(we call it soft 18 because A can be either 11 or 1) and the dealer has 9. Most of people may choose to stand, because they think 18 is safe enough. If players choose to stand on the soft 18, they can win 8 out of 20 hands. If they keep hitting until the sum of their cards exceed 17. They can win 9 out of 20 hands. The chance to win the game increases 5% by hitting the card. So that's why players should hit when they have soft 18 and the dealer has a 9.
The fifth misplayed hand in Blackjack is-------When the players has a pair of 8 and the dealer has a 10.
Most of people may think they are going to loose because they have 16 and the dealer's face-up card is 10. Actually, if players split that pair of 8, they can get out of the loosing situation, and they may be able to win. If you has 16 and the dealer has a 10, you only have 23% chance to win. However, if your 16 consists of a pair of 8, and you split your card. You will start two new hands with 8. And your chance to win the game with two hands with 8 is 38%. Hence, splitting a pair of 8 is a good choice when the dealer has a 10.
To win when gambling not only requires luck but also math and logic. I hope this article can help you understand the logic and the correct strategies to play Blackjack. Maybe one day you can go to the casino and try them out.
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